Basketball
Gambling Tips
1.
Get to know your NBA team.
Study your teams, learn their strengths and weaknesses, know their
home and road records, and evaluate them objectively. Pay
attention to changes in the quality of a team from one season to
the next as players get older and changes occur in personnel and
coaching staffs. Salary caps and free agency make it more
difficult for teams to stay at the top for long periods, so major
improvement or decline from season to season is commonplace in
professional sports.
2.
Value betting - find low risk high reward action.
Successful basketball gambling requires getting value on your bets
... basically this means getting better than the "true"
odds on your team. For instance, if your objective prediction for
a game suggests that the Lakers should be receiving 5 points but
are in fact receiving 8, then this is a value betting proposition.
In this case, the risk to reward is very much in your favor,
making the Lakers a strong play.
3.
Bet against public opinion.
Certain teams always have a strong public following. For years,
the Chicago Bulls were onc such team, having captured the public's
admiration during the Jordan years. High-value bets can often be
found by betting against these teams because the oddsmakers adjust
the line to reflect the expected amount of public money ... thus,
the underdog is often listed with better odds or a larger
pointspread than they realistically deserve.
4.
Stay abreast of injuries.
Watch the injuries, but don't overreact to them. Judge the
importance of an injured player and the quality of his back up.
Remember that second-string players are often highly qualified and
are especially motivated when replacing a starter, so it often
pays to bet on a team missing its best player. The public normally
overreacts to injuries so you may find good value in this
situation. However, beware of situations where there is more than
one injured stud or there is an injury to the team's captain or
inspirational leader.
5.
Bet on motivated teams.
Sometimes a team doesn't play up to its potential and, at other
times, may play well above what is indicated by their overall
record - especially in critical games. Determine how important a
game is to a team. If the team has already clinched a playoff
spot, they may be more focused on the post-season than the present
game. Conversely, a team facing a must-win situation to make the
playoffs may be highly motivated. A team out to revenge a defeat
earlier in the season may also be very motivated.
Apply
your betting knowledge and make big bucks at Players
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6.
Bet with your head, not your heart.
Make an honest assessment of a team's chances, not one based on
emotions. Don't bet on a team simply because it's your favorite
without considering the real odds. Be selective and remember that
you will only find value betting situations in a small number of
games. Betting the entire NBA schedule every week is a risky
proposition at best.
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